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Strong
Opportunity For Chinese LNG Growth: ABARE
China's
dynamic eastern coastal region could become a major market for Australia's
LNG exports over the medium to longer term, according to the Executive
Director of the Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics
(ABARE), Brian Fisher.
Fisher
said the region was experiencing higher economic growth than elsewhere
in China and required significant increases in energy to maintain its
current level of growth. The region encompasses the provinces of Jiangsu,
Shanghai, Zhejiang and Fujian, which lie to the north of Guangdong where
China recently signed its first LNG import contract with Australia's North
West Shelf joint venture
"Economic
growth in this region, and in Guangdong, is higher than elsewhere in China
and requires significant increases in energy to maintain its dynamism",
Fisher said. "The region also has serious environmental problems,
because of its traditional reliance on coal as an energy source."
Fisher
said a new ABARE research report, Natural Gas in Eastern China: The Role
of LNG, indicated demand for LNG imports to the region could reach around
11 - 14 MMt a year by 2015, compared to the current Guangdong contract
of 3.3 MMt a year.
He
said China's energy planners were actively promoting the use of gas in
the region as a means of overcoming some of these energy constraints.
"The west east pipeline was expected to start delivering domestic
gas to Shanghai in 2003-04. However, this would be unable to meet all
the projected increase in demand for gas", he said.
"Imports
of LNG would provide a much needed additional source of gas that could
complement China's own resources. Competition to supply this market will
be intense", he said, "But Australia's secure, reliable and
high quality LNG industry would be well placed to compete in this market."
Meanwhile,
the North West Shelf venture announced in March that Australia LNG Pty
Ltd had changed its name to North West Shelf Australia LNG. John L. Banner
was appointed as the President of the organisation after being seconded
from ChevronTexaco. Banner replaced Arthur Dixon who returned to work
with Shell. Dixon worked with Australia LNG for the past three and a half
years.
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