June/July 2003
APPEA

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Dr Malcolm Garratt

Investor Confidence Vital To Oil And Gas Future: APPEA

Governments need to stimulate investor confidence in the oil and gas industry to provide a healthy climate for a sustainable future, according to Dr Malcolm Garratt, Chairman of the Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association.

Garratt called on governments to come up with "policy, not rhetoric" to help the industry set goals and eliminate randomness and sovereign risk. He called for the establishment of a single, robust, national set of scenarios to serve as a basis for government policy and industry investment.

"This nation needs a clear view as to where its energy demand and supply scenarios are likely to take it", Garratt said. "We do not need multiple agencies and consultancies providing widely differing forecasts for transport fuels, natural gas and electricity."

He queried whether governments were serious about wanting to maximise Australia's self sufficiency in transport fuels or were they "happy" for the country to increasingly rely on imported feedstock for refineries and petroleum products, which is already running at about 65%.

"If an increasing reliance on imported fuel is the choice made by governments then they will have made an assessment of the political situation in countries that can offer an alternative supply", he said. "They will also have made assessments about the security of supply routes for the delivery of oil to Australia and they will have decided that the risks of supply disruption are so minimal as to be acceptable."

He said governments would also have decided that the implications for defence planning and the impacts on budgetary revenue and the balance of trade were also acceptable. "Furthermore, governments will have made the judgement that the lifestyle disruption implications of a supply shortage are acceptable", he said.

He said there would be "major negative investment and operational implications" for the Australian oil and gas industry, and associated industries, if governments did not act to help make Australia more self sufficient.

"Australia must do its utmost to find more oil of its own and develop it", he said. "Exploration and development must be made more attractive. The global industry's perception that Australia has relatively low prospectivity together with the highly competitive international market for exploration investment capital, mean that our governments must set attractive exploration and development investment parameters."

Garratt called on governments to develop an integrated fiscal package and stop looking at issues in isolation. "Companies will not explore if they believe that there is no capacity to develop a discovery", he said. He said the pre-competitive assessment of resource availability had to be both adequately funded and the results made readily available to industry.

"Most of the industry ministers understand that investment in pre-competitive research creates the possibility of expanding or sustaining the $3.3 BB of production taxes the industry pays annually. It is time revenue ministers shared this understanding", Garratt said.

He called for the acreage access regime to be more streamlined and cheaper. "The financial burden of overlapping governmental processes, cost recovery by the Commonwealth, States and local government agencies, expensive environmental assessments, performance bonds, and the legal and other costs of meeting native title requirements are strangling the small and medium end of the exploration industry", he said. "They simply cannot afford it."

"On one hand, via the Parer Review, governments are calling for more competitive access to exploration acreage. On the other hand, a multitude of incremental cost imposts are strangling the companies that will provide that competition", he said. "This issue has become so serious that APPEA has commissioned a study aimed at identifying the magnitude of these imposts on a jurisdiction by jurisdiction basis. We hope to give governments the results of this study later this year."

Garratt also said the taxation regime must be made more attractive for exploration. "APPEA has made proposals for changes to company tax in relation to flow through shares and the treatment of pre competitive resource assessment. The association is also seeking different resource taxation treatment for new developments in Australia's deep water offshore areas."

Garratt said APPEA realised the Commonwealth budgetary situation was tight this year, but he called on government action to implement these measures now. Garratt said APPEA was only targeting new exploration and development activity, not existing tax revenue streams. And even if the measures were introduced this year, it would take two or three years before any claims were made on the Federal Treasury. But in the meantime, vital investor confidence would have hopefully returned to the industry. "In any case, exploration success as a result of these measures will mean a bigger future tax cake", he said.

Garratt said the industry generated more than $9.7 BB in export income for Australia in 2001/02 and provided about 35% of Australia's refinery feedstock supplies. It also contributed $3.3 BB in production taxes and $2.5 BB in company tax to government coffers during 2000/01, and this figure could increase this year due to higher oil prices.

"In addition, we need to remember that there are tax imposts totalling $12 BB on the consumption of petroleum products", Garratt said. He said these contributions were a significant contribution to government coffers. "The production and company taxes alone are sufficient to wholly finance, for example, the Commonwealth's expenditure on schools", he said.

The industry generates almost 18,000 jobs, directly and indirectly, and is a major customer of about 900 companies in Australia. "LNG production alone feeds about $1 BB a year into the broader economy via the purchase of services", he said. "That's why Australian Competitive Energy, ACE, is such a key part of APPEA activities."

While APPEA wants to help create a climate that is conducive to more oil and gas discoveries, finding markets to underpin new gas developments is also a high priority issue. "While producer to customer marketing is fundamental, there are some cases where industry needs all the help it can get from government to ensure barriers to market access are removed and political access is facilitated", Garratt said. "The role of governments in the China gas sale last year is a great demonstration of what can be achieved when government and industry work in harmony."

Garratt said further incentives are needed to make Australia an attractive investment destination. "The petroleum resource rent tax regime must be made more attractive for new greenfield gas developments", he said. "Industry must be able to recover the real value of the huge start up costs of gas projects before production tax imposts come into play."

He called for the removal of regulatory barriers to the development of domestic markets.

"A gas market cannot exist without three parties - customers, infrastructure providers and producers", he said. "Governments also need to have a better understanding of how gas markets operate."

Garratt said the industry has impeccable environmental management and exceptional safety records. "When we depart the land and water of this country, we will leave it in as good a state as when it was put into our care, or perhaps even better", he said. "In fact, given the contribution we are making to enhance the state of knowledge about Australia's oceans and terrestrial environment, we will certainly have made a great positive contribution."

He said the industry had the capacity to provide "enhanced environmental management" by its commitment to "triple bottom line operations" and its leadership in developing new, less prescriptive approaches, particularly to marine environmental management.

"The industry is leading the development of alternative approaches to marine management based on sound science, risk assessment and continuous improvement", Garratt said. "The potential gain is not only enhanced and more effective conservation of the marine environment but also a more constructive and harmonious relationship with the communities in which we operate."

The industry is just about to publish a new volume to supplement its original study of its impact on the marine environment. "The Big Banks and Shoals of the Timor Sea publication from my own company is another example", said Garratt, who is also BHP Billiton's Melbourne-based Vice President for Global External Affairs - Petroleum.

Garratt said safety will remain the industry's top priority. "The industry will oppose attempts to make safety management a user pays service, as this would undermine its independence and integrity", he said. "Protection of the public interest cannot be compromised by user pay arrangements implemented because of constraints on funding from the public purse."

On the broader matter of the "triple bottom line approach", the APPEA Council recently agreed a set of Principles of Conduct which encapsulate the industry's demonstrated track record in the area of economically, socially and environmentally acceptable behaviour.

Garratt said the industry needed support to be able to discover and produce more oil and condensate to provide a greater level of self sufficiency, which would also lead to an increased tax revenue base and balance of trade benefits. It would also enhance the reliability of supply directly, as a refinery feedstock, and indirectly, as a source of export income, to pay for imports.

"In the near future, new liquids production can be expected from various areas, from Gippsland, the Bass and Otway basins, the Perth Basin, the Cooper Basin, from fields in the North West like Vincent Enfield and from the Timor Sea", he said.

Garratt said there needed to be a revived push for more "meaningful exploration" over much of the Australian continent, particularly in deep water areas. "There are opportunities, but there are also associated investment risks", he said. "That level of risk requires a policy response from government if we are to deliver the potential gains."

Garratt said there was also potential to develop alternative transport fuels through the development of more LPG and shale deposits, but he said governments need to decide if they want Australia to be a leader or a follower in these areas.

"If they want to be leaders, then the policy settings for gas development have to be changed", he said. "The policy settings on investment in motor vehicle production and the refining industry will need to be modified. Investment to upgrade and diversify the retail distribution system will also be essential."

He said natural gas also has a role to play in other aspects of supply reliability in the domestic market. "The diversification of supply that will take place over coming years should enhance customer confidence in southern and eastern Australia", he said. "Current supplies will be enhanced by new supplies provided by BHP Billiton, Woodside, OMV and Origin Energy and their joint venture partners.

He said these supplies would be augmented by supplies from coal seam methane in New South Wales and Queensland and new production in the Cooper Basin, and he said options of supplies from the far north and the west could not be discounted, depending on how market demand develops

"Natural gas has a capacity to expand its currently substantial export earnings", he said. "The contracts which the industry has signed with China, Japan and Korea over the past year are an indication of what is possible. But there are more opportunities, both in the East Asian markets and in North America, and potentially in the Indian Ocean rim. We need markets to justify more LNG trains in Darwin, on the Burrup Peninsula and in the Barrow Island region."

He said the provision of natural gas could lead to the establishment of new industries like methanol and fertiliser plants on the Burrup Peninsula. "These gas based industries create export opportunities and tax revenue", he said. "But oil and natural gas development is not just a matter of benefits to the treasuries."

"The whole supply chain would benefit if exploration, production and processing were to grow", he said. There are profits for service companies and jobs for service industry personnel. The real benefit for Australia is not just growth in supply, it is the expansion of the whole economy."

He said natural gas could also be a major contributor to the internationally competitive Australian economy by helping to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, particularly by increasing gas's role in electricity generation. "Gas can also reduce greenhouse emission intensity by playing a greater role in resource processing in northern and western Australia, and as a source of process heat for manufacturing and service industries across the country", Garratt said.

Another area that could lead to reduced greenhouse gas emissions could stem from research into the geological disposal of naturally occurring and flue gas CO2. "Internationally, expanded LNG exports will lower the greenhouse emissions intensity of the global economy and also make a contribution to improving air quality and avoiding acid rain", Garratt said.

He said a dark cloud emerging on the greenhouse horizon was a propensity for some states to embark on "inefficient and costly" policies. "Proposals for plant specific targets, state based emissions trading, and mandatory capital turnover requirements, which ignore an industry's exposure as a price taker, are flawed and not in the nation's or states' interest", he said.

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Don Sanders

APPEA Tells Juniors To Go Forth And Market Themselves

Junior explorers need to recognise that getting capital is all about selling an 'investment product' and the chances of success are enhanced if the product for sale is good, and if there is a sound selling strategy, according to Don Sanders, Director APPEA WA and NT.

Sanders told delegates at an exploration seminar in Perth that the small end of the market is not insignificant and is operating successfully in Australia's upstream petroleum industry. He said around 60% of companies currently holding equity in offshore exploration permits are classed as small explorers.

"Therefore, the junior end of the upstream industry shouldn't start with an implied inferiority complex", Sanders said.

In preparing a sales strategy, Sanders said small explorers needed to consider the following: Firstly, they are selling an investment product in a highly competitive share market and not the speculation market.

"The dot.com boom and bust has probably absorbed a great deal of the speculative capital available in Australia and globally", he said.

"Another factor is Australia's ageing population, with the proportion of the population over 50 growing and, frankly, small explorer companies don't fit the investment risk profile of this group."

Sanders added, investors these days don't always have the time to carefully evaluate each investment and so rely heavily upon fund managers, who tend to invest in $100 MM packages and not in $10 MM packages.

Sanders said an important first step for juniors in being attractive to investors is to possess an asset they think is worth something, and that means acquiring good acreage both at home and abroad.

"It's only after we have found liquids that cash flow from oil sales, and matters like a trend in the global oil price, come into play in the capital access strategy for the business", Sanders said.

"And if we find gas, the resource has little value in the capital access strategy until a sales contract is pretty firm."

Sanders said Australia's complex geology and propensity for gas discoveries, which are difficult to commercialise due to remoteness from the markets, has created the perception that the country is not prospective. This perception is strengthened by Australia's low rate of oil discoveries, which are often too small to be commercial.

"Between 1991 and 2000 the average size of commercial oil discoveries in Australia was about 40 MMbbl, ranking offshore Australia 29 out of 47 countries with commercial oil discoveries", Sanders said.

"This is 10% of the average field size for offshore waters in Brazil, Nigeria and onshore Kazakhstan. The average field size in the Gulf of Mexico during this period was 148 MMbbl.

"Therefore, in putting our 'investment product' together, we need data, good risk analysis, clear business plans and objectives, and clear cost control strategies."

Sanders said another complicating factor is that capital for petroleum investments is scarce and is likely to become even more scare as the industry, according to recently published statistics, will need to spend roughly $US100 BB a year by 2010 just to meet projected demand.

"So we want a 'resource - investment capital' that is scarce on two grounds", Sanders said. "The supply is tight (eg share market, ageing population) and the competition is vicious from other sectors and from our own sector."

The fiscal regime is a concern for many potential investors and is a critical determinant of the viability of an investment in Australia.

"APPEA estimates that taxation payments made to the Commonwealth and State/Territory governments make up 44.7% of total operating costs faced by the industry and 31% of total revenue", he said.

"The base question for a potential investor is, will a company get adequate value for its money if it makes a find in Australia?

"After all, why waste money on exploration if the board is going to say 'no' at the development stage because the project will not meet the company's decision-making criteria for access to capital."

Sanders said the impact of new accounting standards for exploration expenditures (written off in year incurred) on company accounts will also affect ability to raise capital for those with some current production.

Sanders also told delegates that while the regulatory regime in relation to Native Title and the environment is difficult, it's a reality that has to be dealt with and investors will want to know how junior companies handle this issue with least delay, least cost and least risk.

"That said, governments can make the system more co-ordinated, less duplicative and more user friendly", he said.

Sanders said educating brokers about the petroleum industry was another valuable tool for juniors in their fight for capital. "You have to develop strategies for making your stock stand out from the crowd", he said. "The investor is not well equipped to discriminate between competing small explorer investment opportunities. You have to change perceptions."

Sanders concluded by saying small companies have succeeded in Australia and they continue to do so. "They succeeded because they were prepared to fight for what they wanted, they got together a good investment portfolio, backed by a sound business strategy and they sold it and in the process stood out from the crowd", he said.

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Barry Jones

Time Running Out For Future Energy Policy

Australia's "frail efforts" to develop a meaningful energy policy are in tatters and time is running out to install an energy policy that will produce long term benefits for all Australians.

That's the blunt and urgent message given by Barry Jones, Executive Director of the Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association to politicians and bureaucrats recently. "APPEA has a very plain message to Australian governments, wake up and realise that effective energy policy cannot be developed in a bureaucratic silo that has no realistic contact with industry", he said.

He said while it was a "laudable objective" to aim for affordable, clean and secure energy supplies, governments would not achieve these objectives by just "tinkering" with the structure of petroleum product taxes, putting ethanol into petrol, focusing primarily on retail and wholesale energy market competitiveness or subsidising industry development for renewable energy.

"Addressing such issues may be very important, but they do not make an energy policy", he said. Jones also warned that greenhouse policy must not be seen as energy policy. "Greenhouse policy is not even clean energy policy", he said. "Energy policy must consider issues of security, reliability and affordability, as well as environmental issues. And the relevant environmental issues are much more wide ranging than just the impacts of climate change. The greenhouse tail should not be wagging either the energy policy or the sustainable development dogs."

He said governments were ignoring the fact that very large investments needed to be made to deliver clean, reliable energy. "They do not understand that the exploration and development realities for oil and gas are fundamentally different to those for coal. They are mainly offshore, they are costly, they are larger and they are riskier", he said. "They therefore fail to recognise that getting the investment parameters right for finding and developing oil and gas is a critical underpinning of delivering a reliable, clean, affordable, energy supply."

Jones said it was still not too late for governments to "get it right" on energy policy. But he said the agenda needed to change
fundamentally, with all governments needing to recognise that:

• Saying that national energy policy requires the development of Australian resources means they have to adequately fund pre-
competitive research to identify that resource endowment.
• The mining industry and the petroleum industry are fundamentally different. They must stop saying mining and petroleum developments are driven by the same policy parameters. They are not.
• Laws they have enacted in relation to the upstream oil and gas industry say that the right to explore carries with it the right to develop – if the parameters for exploration are wrong, development will not occur. But equally, if the parameters for development are wrong, exploration will not occur. Getting one or the other right is not enough.
• Taxation policy cannot be set in tablets of stone if they want to keep Australia as an internationally attractive destination for
capital. The rest of the world is not frozen in an investment time warp. Australia cannot afford to be caught in one.
• Small and medium businesses are a critical part of the oil and gas industry. Small and medium companies are being driven out of business or forced offshore by higher and higher regulatory approval hurdles, costly, complex and over-lapping approval processes, governments shifting the burden of delivering community outcomes onto industry to ease the public purse, and governments ignoring the changed realities of capital markets."

Jones said these latter processes were undermining upstream competitiveness and innovation in Australia. "They are also creating a drain in talent and eliminating the willingness to take risks away from Australia", he said. "In short, by ignoring the role of small and medium business in the upstream oil and gas industry, governments are wrecking their capacity to deliver the energy policy outcomes they want."

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Field Trip To Western Victoria

Following the March APPEA Conference, a group of 12 headed off to western Victoria to have a close-hand look at the Lower Cretaceous and Tertiary outcrops of the region.

The tour, led by Dr Mike Hall of Monash University and Dr. Peter Arditto, lasted three days. The weather was mostly kind and the tour featured some spectacular scenery along the southern coast of western Victoria, including the Port Campbell National Park.

From left to right: Mike Hall, Robert Konert,
Rosemary Irrgang, Henry Irrgang, Don Poynton, Peter Arditto, Ed Kopsen,
Peter Putnam, George Comanos, and (seated in from) Jack Mulready.

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Click to enlarge

The Running Of The Bull At The 37th AOGT

The 37th Australian Oilfield Golf Tournament (AOGT) was held in Melbourne over two days of glorious weather. Not only were the weather and course conditions great, but the excellent support from our sponsors ensured our financial commitments were met. This certainly alleviated much of the stress on the sponsorship and financial committee. Our thanks go to all of our sponsors whose active financial support as well as attendance ensured a great day was had by all. The complete list of sponsors is attached below with their logos.

The 50-odd players (golfers are often considered of this ilk) made use of both their conventional and unconventional shot making skills to master the two different golf courses selected by the AOGT committee. With this year's APPEA conference being held in Melbourne, the golf committee opted for the first day golf to be played on the open or 'links' style layout of Kingston Links. The second and final day's play was held on one of Melbourne's prestigious sand belt courses at Woodlands Golf Course – (read tougher and tighter lies – but not from the players' mouths).

The AOGT tournament has two types of play – match play and stroke round. Day 1 consists of the first round of the match play as well as the stroke round. The results of the match play set the scene for the second day's play, which is a continuation of the first day's match play – Day 2 hosts the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

Normally at the end of a golf game, at the 19th hole, the day's game is discussed in detail. To the uninitiated, the 19th hole is a place where imbibition fluids are trialled, longest drives and straightest putts made and where truth takes on a new light – sort of like question time in parliament. (Even Tiger Woods, Ernie Els and Greg Norman would have problems competing in this field.).

During these 19th hole discussions it was revealed that Ross Skerman had dark and satanic thoughts of his fellow competitor as 'they' approached the final hole. Fortunately, for lucky Phil, good prevailed over evil, as Phil , from off the green, left a 70 ft putt (ok, ok, 15 ft) 6 inches from the hole.

The evil thinking Skerman failed to make his 3 ft putt 'lipping' the hole and then missing the return 4 ft putt to allow Lucky Phil to win the match. (If that member of the Queensland 'axis of evil' tells you differently – don't believe him - perhaps I should be known as 'honest John' instead of lucky Phil?).

I told you Tiger et al would have difficulty in this august company. Many other tall (but true) tales were recanted at the 19th, especially at the Presentation Dinner, sponsored by Woodside, at the end of the second day's play. (See photos of the evening dinner – amongst the photos is one of Ross Skerman seeking guidance on his putting from Barry Smith.).

All levity aside, we would like to thank Woodside, Esso and Inpex for feeding the masses, and Halliburton for the evening drinks. Thanks also to Veritas for keeping the shirts on our respective backs – ably modelled by Ross – and to all other sponsors who supplied golfing paraphernalia and monies for the golf days. The committee appreciates your support.

The winners of the different events were:
APPEA Trophy
Best Net
Dennis Sisely - sponsored by Woodside
ODCAA Trophy
Best Gross
John Hargreaves - sponsored by Esso
Earl Abbott Cup
Best Calloway
Quentin Robson - sponsored by AWE
Alexander Stenhouse Ladies Trophy
Best Net
Wendy Butler - sponsored by Petrel

Whilst the match play flights were won by:
Roma Flight - Andy Dewar
Moonie Flight - Mike Wiltshire
Gidgealpa Flight - Phil Lock
Mereenie Flight - John Speed
Dongara Flight - Derek Morrow
Barracouta Flight - Rowley Butters
Moomba Flight - Russell McPhee

Once again, many thanks from the committee for the great assistance of the golf course staff and the tremendous support of the sponsors.

Committee members were Peter Elze, Doug Schwebel, John Remfry, Bob Bell and Phil Lock.

The sponsors were Woodside, Esso, Halliburton, Petrel, Australian Worldwide Exploration, BassGas, Atwood Oceanics. BHPB, Century Drilling, Duke Energy, Essential Petroleum, Imperial Snubbing, Inpex, KPMG, Mitsui, Oil Search, Oil Drilling & Exploration, Technical Careers & Contracts, Veritas, Wiltshire Geological Services PL & Worley.

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